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Qual 22009 Philadelphia Regional
Red77
35712.3
32110.6
27224.5
Blue45
2259.7
25019.9
25399.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4948102030406070807745

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
272
#13
24.52.2
21.2→23.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.6
250
#15
19.90.3
19.0→18.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
357
#43
12.32.2
14.1→16.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.4
2539
#52
9.90.3
15.5→15.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
321
#30
10.62.4
13.2→15.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.9
225
#53
9.70.3
14.0→13.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—