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Qual 242009 Philadelphia Regional
Red48
34121.6
30414.7
25019.9
Blue58
48416.6
26078.4
10338.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56612040801004858

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#50
21.60.5
23.5→23.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 17.0
103
#1
38.60.1
33.4→33.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
250
#15
19.90.6
18.3→17.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.2
484
#14
16.60.2
16.3→16.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
304
#23
14.70.7
15.2→14.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.2
2607
#51
8.40.2
10.9→10.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—