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Qual 232009 Philadelphia Regional
Red54
22229.2
179114.2
115327.7
Blue26
108913.4
50913.5
43313.5
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67460204060801005426

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#5
29.20.6
29.9→29.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 15.7
509
#48
13.51.4
18.8→17.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1153
#2
27.70.7
23.4→22.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 14.3
433
#20
13.51.9
16.1→14.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1791
#17
14.20.9
11.3→10.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.8
1089
#18
13.41.6
14.4→12.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—