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Qual 322009 Philadelphia Regional
Red40
2259.7
39532.5
70815.4
Blue44
25019.9
140313.7
222914.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61522040801004044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
395
#10
32.51.4
29.5→28.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 12.6
250
#15
19.90.5
17.7→17.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
708
#31
15.41.2
17.1→15.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.2
2229
#34
14.20.7
17.2→16.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
225
#53
9.71.6
12.8→11.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 4.0
1403
#35
13.70.5
18.0→17.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—