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Qual 332009 Philadelphia Regional
Red40
48416.6
272920.7
114319.8
Blue118
89618.2
127930.7
139126.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions556220408010012040118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2729
#16
20.71.0
20.5→19.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 10.0
1279
#6
30.73.4
23.5→27.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1143
#26
19.81.0
19.7→18.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 6.7
1391
#8
26.53.4
21.9→25.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
484
#14
16.61.0
16.1→15.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.6
896
#42
18.23.4
16.1→19.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—