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Qual 792009 Philadelphia Regional
Red86
115327.7
102714.0
149516.7
Blue58
35712.3
192325.9
8421.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53622040801001208658

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1153
#2
27.71.6
27.1→28.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.8
1923
#21
25.90.1
26.7→26.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1495
#29
16.72.3
14.4→16.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 4.5
84
#40
21.20.2
21.4→21.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1027
#28
14.01.6
12.4→14.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.6
357
#43
12.30.1
12.5→12.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—