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Red98
176520.3
172820.4
112627.6
Blue26
57815.4
77110.3
159116.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions554202060801009826

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1126
Unranked
27.63.7
25.829.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.0
1591
Unranked
16.51.5
12.310.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1728
Unranked
20.43.7
14.918.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
578
UnrankedSur
15.41.5
17.015.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1765
UnrankedSur
20.33.7
12.616.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.0
771
Unranked
10.31.5
14.613.1
Auto
Teleop
End