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Red50
34019.3
30579.5
61022.8
Blue76
80915.2
22921.5
155919.2
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45490204060801005076

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
Unranked
22.80.4
16.817.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
229
Unranked
21.52.3
16.018.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
340
Unranked
19.30.4
14.915.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1559
Unranked
19.22.3
15.217.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3057
Unranked
9.50.4
13.714.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.7
809
Unranked
15.22.3
17.019.3
Auto
Teleop
End