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Red50
260916.1
31620.8
162616.7
Blue68
151811.7
150321.6
21114.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595202040801001205068

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
Unranked
20.80.7
19.819.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
1503
Unranked
21.61.2
24.826.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1626
Unranked
16.70.7
20.019.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
211
Unranked
14.01.2
13.714.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2609
Unranked
16.10.7
18.517.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
1518
Unranked
11.71.2
14.816.0
Auto
Teleop
End