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Red57
61022.8
176520.3
222814.1
Blue74
19125.5
42415.2
14512.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4459020801005774

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
Unranked
22.80.9
16.717.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
191
Unranked
25.51.4
26.928.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1765
Unranked
20.30.9
18.018.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
424
Unranked
15.21.4
18.219.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2228
Unranked
14.10.9
11.512.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
145
Unranked
12.61.4
11.813.2
Auto
Teleop
End