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Red44
255118.3
132317.7
114711.1
Blue64
301313.1
206321.7
289213.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions483902060801004464

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2551
#43
18.30.3
18.618.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
2063
#14
21.72.0
16.118.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1323
#39
17.70.2
15.415.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
2892
#33
13.90.7
13.914.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1147
#38
11.10.3
13.112.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
3013
#40
13.11.7
11.713.4
Auto
Teleop
End