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Red32
11525.6
107217.4
220414.6
Blue54
285424.3
208520.9
70119.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47450102030406070803254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115
#21
25.61.1
19.718.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
24.311.0
24.313.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1072
#27
17.41.0
14.813.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
2085
#22
20.90.7
13.914.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2204
#23
14.61.2
12.210.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.2
701
#8
19.80.7
18.619.3
Auto
Teleop
End