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Red70
170014.5
301313.1
60426.0
Blue34
21569.9
66821.3
76619.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51492030406070807034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#10
26.00.9
23.524.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
668
#18
21.30.8
18.818.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1700
#15
14.50.9
13.314.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.1
766
#32
19.60.8
20.019.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3013
#40
13.10.9
14.215.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
2156
#42
9.91.3
10.69.3
Auto
Teleop
End