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Red56
236715.9
245614.5
212223.9
Blue50
247320.3
248915.7
207318.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514710203040607080905650

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2122
#11
23.90.3
24.024.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
2473
#17
20.30.1
21.421.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2367
#29
15.90.3
12.412.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
2073
#24
18.20.2
10.410.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2456
#35
14.50.4
14.314.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
2489
#36
15.70.1
16.016.1
Auto
Teleop
End