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Red54
302521.5
137916.4
281521.7
Blue89
241524.9
177136.6
2115.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5779020401001201405489

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2815
#11
21.70.1
21.821.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.9
36.60.2
36.336.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
21.50.1
21.721.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
2415
#12
24.90.2
24.624.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1379
#34
16.40.1
16.516.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
21
#24
15.40.2
15.115.3
Auto
Teleop
End