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Red57
302521.5
281521.7
137916.4
Blue82
241524.9
177136.6
2115.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5780020401001201405782

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2815
#11
21.70.0
21.721.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.9
36.60.1
36.536.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
21.50.1
21.521.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
2415
#12
24.90.1
24.824.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1379
#34
16.40.1
16.416.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
21
#24
15.40.1
15.315.4
Auto
Teleop
End