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Red61
33725.8
139816.8
241524.9
Blue99
261423.6
155321.0
80119.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions525140607080906199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
337
#9
25.80.5
20.220.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
2614
#23
23.62.7
20.623.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2415
#12
24.90.5
21.021.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
21.04.0
15.319.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1398
#29
16.80.5
10.210.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
801
#19
19.72.7
15.117.7
Auto
Teleop
End