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Qual 232009 Palmetto Regional
Red103
281521.7
136920.9
177136.6
Blue58
243014.0
105120.8
102614.5
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7443020608010012014010358

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1771
#3
36.61.7
32.6→34.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 15.8
1051
#5
20.80.9
16.0→16.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2815
#11
21.71.7
21.3→22.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 7.2
1026
#22
14.50.9
15.8→16.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1369
#6
20.92.8
15.9→18.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.8
2430
#40
14.00.9
15.4→16.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—