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Red70
14828.8
28828.7
302915.6
Blue30
25978.1
62435.7
310313.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions495702040801001201407030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#23
28.81.4
25.226.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.0
624
#10
35.71.4
31.630.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3029
#15
15.61.4
15.614.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
3103
#42
13.32.9
13.310.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2882
#53
8.75.5
8.714.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
2597
#57
8.12.1
11.49.3
Auto
Teleop
End