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Red54
246818.7
288013.2
258216.8
Blue64
18989.6
296620.4
302817.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413802060805464

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2468
#25
18.70.7
15.716.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
2966
#20
20.42.1
12.114.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2582
#11
16.81.1
14.115.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
17.32.1
13.916.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2880
#24
13.21.1
11.112.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
1898
#59
9.62.1
12.714.8
Auto
Teleop
End