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Red32
307110.7
301218.6
12559.9
Blue78
296912.4
62435.7
219015.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions335902040801001203278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3012
#30
18.60.3
13.913.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.2
624
#10
35.71.1
30.231.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3071
#60
10.70.3
11.511.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.1
2190
#47
15.71.9
11.613.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1255
#51
9.90.3
10.710.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
2969
#56
12.41.9
13.515.4
Auto
Teleop
End