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Red50
293615.4
207215.5
258216.8
Blue34
147726.2
215813.2
181814.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375202060801001205034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2582
#11
16.80.9
13.214.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.4
1477
#12
26.20.9
24.723.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2072
#27
15.50.9
13.013.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
1818
#28
14.11.3
12.110.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2936
#48
15.46.2
19.713.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
2158
#55
13.21.3
13.311.9
Auto
Teleop
End