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Qual 42009 Lone Star Regional
Red68
295611.3
142127.3
297918.0
Blue32
296620.4
303512.7
288110.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions523602060801006832

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1421
#21
27.31.0
24.3→25.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.9
2966
#20
20.48.3
20.4→12.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2979
#6
18.03.9
18.0→14.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.3
3035
#54
12.70.6
12.7→12.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2956
#40
11.32.8
11.3→14.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.8
2881
#50
10.61.5
10.6→12.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—