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Red20
295611.3
186517.1
266410.4
Blue60
302915.6
301218.6
246818.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374802060801002060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1865
#39
17.11.6
16.014.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
2468
#25
18.70.7
16.317.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2956
#40
11.31.6
14.713.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.2
3012
#30
18.61.1
15.116.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2664
#49
10.41.6
8.16.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.1
3029
#15
15.61.1
14.816.0
Auto
Teleop
End