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Red81
303512.7
142127.3
293615.4
Blue40
296912.4
25978.1
180119.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474302060801008140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1421
#21
27.31.7
25.226.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.6
1801
#34
19.80.3
22.622.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2936
#48
15.42.8
12.615.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
2969
#56
12.40.3
15.014.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3035
#54
12.72.8
9.111.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
2597
#57
8.10.3
6.25.9
Auto
Teleop
End