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Red50
41412.6
62021.7
152221.3
Blue0
123616.5
24026.3
165511.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50420206080500

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
620
#30
21.70.1
19.719.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
1236
#49
16.53.6
14.110.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
21.30.1
15.615.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.9
1655
#57
11.43.6
16.412.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
414
#41
12.60.1
13.913.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.3
2402
#60
6.33.6
12.38.8
Auto
Teleop
End