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Qual 82009 NASA VCU Regional
Red40
40117.9
307913.8
298811.7
Blue84
40513.5
289017.5
141318.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4240102030506070804084

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
401
#34
17.90.1
16.5→16.4
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blue by 0.7
1413
#4
18.63.6
14.1→17.8
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Second
3079
#48
13.81.4
13.8→12.4
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blue by 3.7
2890
#27
17.52.6
18.8→16.2
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Third
2988
#56
11.70.7
11.7→12.4
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blue by 1.7
405
#55
13.53.6
13.6→17.3
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