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Red50
292216.2
25509.2
289820.9
Blue42
189910.3
129420.0
292914.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48330204060805042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.90.2
22.022.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
1294
#44
20.00.6
14.515.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2922
#10
16.20.3
15.515.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
2929
#51
14.90.6
11.011.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2550
#55
9.20.2
8.68.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
1899
#52
10.30.6
9.410.0
Auto
Teleop
End