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Red56
48824.3
266015.0
309313.7
Blue28
198326.8
29067.3
214814.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46510204060801005628

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
488
#22
24.30.5
22.923.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
1983
#33
26.81.1
27.626.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
15.00.8
12.813.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
2148
#37
14.41.9
14.112.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3093
#45
13.70.8
11.111.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
2906
#57
7.31.9
8.97.0
Auto
Teleop
End