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Qual 582009 Microsoft Seattle Regional
Red78
237420.9
151019.1
241110.4
Blue32
94818.5
214713.7
292313.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484202060807832

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2374
#27
20.91.5
20.5→22.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.4
948
#16
18.50.5
17.7→17.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1510
#11
19.11.5
17.4→18.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.2
2923
#49
13.80.9
11.8→10.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2411
#30
10.41.5
9.7→11.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 3.3
2147
#60
13.70.5
13.1→12.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—