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Red28
252213.0
292115.1
290811.4
Blue48
297111.8
37213.8
304913.3
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4240203050602848

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2921
#39
15.11.2
13.912.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
372
#36
13.80.6
14.314.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2522
#35
13.00.8
13.612.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
3049
#17
13.30.6
13.514.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2908
#38
11.41.2
14.713.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
2971
#50
11.80.6
12.913.5
Auto
Teleop
End