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Qual 642009 Microsoft Seattle Regional
Red36
125811.0
251713.6
247124.6
Blue77
204624.1
142524.8
255512.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4557020801003677

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2471
#3
24.60.5
23.7→23.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.2
1425
#2
24.81.1
22.1→23.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2517
#48
13.60.5
13.1→12.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 10.4
2046
#18
24.11.1
23.6→24.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1258
#64
11.00.9
9.7→8.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.3
2555
#26
12.21.8
10.1→11.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—