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Qual 652009 Microsoft Seattle Regional
Red40
189910.3
151719.7
29067.3
Blue26
241110.4
29769.8
292717.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364202060801004026

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1517
#15
19.70.2
19.5→19.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.8
2927
#9
17.91.3
19.2→17.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1899
#52
10.30.3
10.0→10.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.1
2411
#30
10.40.8
11.2→10.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2906
#57
7.30.3
7.0→7.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.5
2976
#53
9.81.3
11.1→9.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—