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Qual 662009 Microsoft Seattle Regional
Red68
198326.8
293016.0
291013.3
Blue87
292313.8
129420.0
131828.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5452406070806887

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1983
#33
26.80.7
26.4→27.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.6
1318
#13
28.31.7
26.2→28.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2930
#34
16.01.2
14.8→16.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 4.0
1294
#44
20.02.9
15.1→18.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2910
#56
13.31.2
12.1→13.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.5
2923
#49
13.82.9
10.9→13.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—