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Red64
107515.1
155815.1
207614.6
Blue30
85416.9
78117.9
121914.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions355602040806430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1075
#20
15.12.2
14.616.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
781
#9
17.91.9
18.216.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
15.12.2
12.714.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
854
#13
16.91.9
18.916.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
14.62.2
10.412.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1219
#25
14.41.9
16.314.4
Auto
Teleop
End