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Red89
160519.3
114121.6
216622.3
Blue81
293516.6
304016.1
156524.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48530204060808981

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.33.4
18.021.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
1565
#16
24.02.4
18.220.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
21.63.4
15.318.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
2935
#14
16.62.4
16.118.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1605
#21
19.33.4
15.518.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
3040
#23
16.12.4
17.720.1
Auto
Teleop
End