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Red70
216622.3
181512.3
250525.0
Blue54
160519.3
85416.9
270215.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59502040801007054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.00.8
24.525.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
1605
#21
19.30.2
19.119.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
22.30.8
21.822.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
854
#13
16.90.2
16.716.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1815
#17
12.30.8
11.512.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
2702
#19
15.20.2
15.015.2
Auto
Teleop
End