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Red54
236111.6
131023.6
207614.6
Blue57
220013.6
293516.6
260923.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48510204060805457

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.60.4
23.323.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
23.80.3
22.622.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
14.60.4
15.015.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
2935
#14
16.60.5
16.216.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2361
#18
11.60.4
10.510.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
2200
#15
13.60.5
11.712.1
Auto
Teleop
End