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Red41
186411.1
211611.3
93016.4
Blue78
153518.3
248121.2
171421.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434702060801004178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#49
16.40.2
16.216.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.9
1714
#16
21.32.6
16.519.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2116
#37
11.30.2
13.813.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.9
2481
#15
21.22.6
15.618.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1864
#46
11.10.2
13.313.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.1
1535
#36
18.32.6
14.216.8
Auto
Teleop
End