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Red36
14116.9
250011.6
219419.1
Blue46
294013.7
181617.9
130617.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions494402060801001201403646

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2194
#32
19.11.0
16.015.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
1816
#11
17.90.1
16.817.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
141
#48
16.90.6
17.216.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
1306
#29
17.40.1
15.315.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2500
#40
11.61.0
14.713.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
2940
#20
13.70.1
12.112.2
Auto
Teleop
End