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Red2
15403.4
17681.3
13191.1
Blue5
31571.5
19871.7
5551.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5502468101225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1540
#45
3.40.2
3.13.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
555
#64
1.90.0
1.81.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1768
#52
1.30.2
1.00.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
1987
#73
1.70.0
1.51.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1319
#49
1.10.2
1.21.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
3157
#60
1.50.0
1.61.6
Auto
Teleop
End