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Red5
2362.0
31960.3
33572.9
Blue10
336.5
1761.2
5271.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions590101520510

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3357
#36
2.90.0
2.52.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.6
33
#2
6.50.1
5.96.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
236
#70
2.00.0
2.52.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
527
#67
1.80.1
1.71.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3196
#66
0.30.0
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
176
#65
1.20.1
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End