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Red4
11641.0
11590.6
31700.5
Blue12
3593.0
17981.1
31942.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1402681012412

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.00.2
0.60.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
359
#1
3.00.4
2.32.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1159
#32
0.60.2
0.50.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
2.20.7
0.61.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3170
#26
0.50.2
0.60.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
1798
#12
1.10.7
0.51.2
Auto
Teleop
End