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Red4
26621.1
18280.5
32810.8
Blue1
31580.9
4980.5
24430.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions220134567841

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2662
#27
1.10.2
1.11.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
3158
#16
0.90.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3281
#43
0.80.2
0.30.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
498
#21
0.50.1
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1828
#52
0.50.2
0.40.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
2443
#28
0.20.1
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End