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Red2
24430.2
11590.6
12121.7
Blue2
17261.5
10130.6
18520.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions220134522

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1212
#15
1.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1726
#29
1.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1159
#32
0.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
1013
#34
0.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2443
#28
0.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1852
#25
0.4
Auto
Teleop
End