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Red3
24962.1
8671.2
11381.3
Blue2
17020.4
23390.9
26591.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21046832

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2496
#12
2.10.1
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
2659
#24
1.40.1
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1138
#13
1.30.1
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
2339
#39
0.90.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
867
#16
1.20.1
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
1702
#51
0.40.1
0.20.3
Auto
Teleop
End