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Red5
16920.9
13882.6
5800.6
Blue3
9810.4
32710.9
17590.7
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31024681053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.60.1
2.22.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
3271
#18
0.90.2
0.30.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1692
#28
0.90.2
-0.00.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1759
#52
0.70.2
0.50.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
580
#36
0.60.2
0.60.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
981
#44
0.40.1
0.20.3
Auto
Teleop
End