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Red6
13882.6
18361.1
17173.5
Blue9
3304.7
22721.2
11601.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65010152069

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3.50.0
2.72.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
330
#1
4.70.2
4.14.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2.60.0
2.52.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
2272
#23
1.20.3
0.81.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1836
#14
1.10.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
1.20.2
0.60.8
Auto
Teleop
End