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Red1
30211.6
5891.1
6060.5
Blue8
10470.4
24962.1
32710.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions220134567818

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3021
#10
1.60.0
1.00.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
2496
#12
2.10.5
0.81.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
589
#20
1.10.1
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
3271
#18
0.90.5
0.61.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
606
#31
0.50.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1047
#45
0.40.5
0.40.9
Auto
Teleop
End