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Red5
15150.8
22721.2
23390.9
Blue2
24291.2
6060.5
14521.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33012456752

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2272
#23
1.20.2
1.01.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
1452
#21
1.50.1
1.31.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2339
#39
0.90.1
0.91.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2429
#37
1.20.1
1.31.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1515
#17
0.80.1
0.80.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
606
#31
0.50.1
0.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End